Hi Clemens
Very interessant idea!
Just in case:
In telemac, since v6.2, you have the possibility to simulate breaches by a bottom evolution. The first version allow you to just manage the opening by a lowering of bottom but it could be a basis for a new version! Have a look in the releases notes of 6.2 and on the test case.
For your information, if you don't see it already, in Journal of Hydraulic Engineering Volume: 139, Number: 6 (June 2013), there is an article dealing with this subject:
Depth-Averaged Hydrodynamic Model for Gradual Breaching of Embankment Dams Attributable to Overtopping Considering Suspended Sediment Transport
Saeed-Reza Sabbagh-Yazdi, Mojtaba Jamshidi
Regards